Category: Business/Economy

  • Tinubu Defends Subsidy Removal, Rules Out Return To Petrol Subsidy

    Tinubu Defends Subsidy Removal, Rules Out Return To Petrol Subsidy

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    President Bola Tinubu has defended his decision to remove petrol subsidy, insisting that his administration has no plans to reinstate the policy despite calls by opposition figures for a review of the measure.

    Tinubu stated this on Monday evening at a political gathering organised by the City Boy Movement in collaboration with the Relax-Tinubu-Is-Fixing-Nigeria movement ahead of the 2027 presidential election.

    The President recalled that he announced the removal of the subsidy on his first day in office on May 29, 2023, arguing that the government could no longer sustain the financial burden.

    He likened a return to the subsidy regime to asking Moses to return to Egypt after leading the Israelites out of captivity.

    “You cannot ask Moses to go back to Egypt,” Tinubu said, insisting that Nigeria would not reverse the policy.

    He maintained that the country was moving in the right direction economically and expressed confidence that the ongoing reforms would create better opportunities for Nigerians.

    Tinubu also took aim at political opponents who have advocated a return to fuel subsidies, although he did not mention them by name.

    The African Democratic Congress presidential candidate, Atiku Abubakar, had previously proposed reinstating a form of petrol subsidy. However, Atiku said his proposal involved a capped and audited production subsidy linked to domestic refining, rather than a return to the previous arrangement.

    The Presidency had criticised the proposal, describing the former subsidy system as wasteful, corruption-ridden and financially burdensome.

    Tinubu acknowledged that the past three years had been difficult for Nigerians but maintained that his administration had taken necessary decisions to address the country’s economic challenges.

    He said the government inherited substantial financial obligations, including debts owed to airlines, and faced dwindling foreign reserves and excessive currency printing.

    According to the President, his administration chose to confront the challenges rather than continue policies he considered unsustainable.

    “We understood that a nation cannot borrow its way to greatness,” he said.

    Tinubu also defended the Nigerian Education Loan Fund, stating that he had no regrets about signing the Students Loan Act in 2023.

    He said more than one million students had received support through the scheme, describing access to education as an important investment in the country’s future.

    Addressing young supporters at the event, the President urged them to mobilise voters ahead of the January 16, 2027, presidential election.

    He encouraged young Nigerians to obtain their Permanent Voter Cards and use them to participate in the election, adding that supporters should communicate the administration’s achievements and future plans to voters in their communities.

    Tinubu maintained that the election should be viewed as an opportunity for Nigerians to determine the country’s future rather than simply a contest centred on his political ambition.

    Earlier, Vice President Kashim Shettima defended the administration’s economic policies, arguing that the country could have faced a deeper economic crisis without the President’s decisions.

    Shettima said the economy had begun to show signs of improvement, citing reported growth of 4.43 per cent in the preceding quarter and foreign reserves approaching $60bn.

    He acknowledged that Nigerians had experienced significant hardship but argued that the situation could have been worse without the reforms.

    The Vice President also expressed optimism that planned government interventions in agriculture would help address food supply challenges and bring down prices.

    He urged young Nigerians to communicate the administration’s position on economic reforms to other citizens.

    Deputy Senate President Barau Jibrin, who also addressed the gathering, praised the City Boy Movement and urged it to use technology and artificial intelligence to communicate the administration’s policies and respond to criticism from opposition parties.

    Meanwhile, Speaker of the House of Representatives, Tajudeen Abbas, called on political officeholders supporting Tinubu to provide verifiable accounts of their performance.

    Abbas announced plans to publish an assessment of projects and interventions delivered in his Zaria constituency in Kaduna State, as well as a separate account of the House of Representatives’ legislative and oversight activities.

    He said the exercise would document project locations, costs and implementation status, including initiatives that remained incomplete.

    The Speaker urged other elected and appointed officials to adopt a similar approach, arguing that political support should be backed by measurable achievements.

    He also encouraged the City Boy Movement to verify reported projects and organise town hall meetings where public officials could account for their performance before constituents.

    In his remarks, the Director-General of the City Boy Movement, Francis Shoga, said Nigerian youths were prepared to support the administration’s political and development agenda.

    Shoga described the movement as a platform for mobilising young people, communicating government policies and encouraging their participation in national development.

    The event formed part of activities by Tinubu’s supporters to strengthen grassroots mobilisation ahead of the 2027 general election.

  • Nigeria To Introduce Fuel Taxes When Economy Stabilises – Oyedele

    Nigeria To Introduce Fuel Taxes When Economy Stabilises – Oyedele

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    Nigeria will introduce taxes on petroleum products when the economy stabilises and household incomes improve enough to accommodate the additional costs, the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, has said.

    Oyedele explained that the Federal Government would prioritise the completion of ongoing economic reforms, stabilisation and the restoration of economic growth before implementing the proposed taxes.

    He disclosed this during an interview with ARISE News on the sidelines of the 2026 International Monetary Fund and World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok, Thailand.

    The minister said introducing fuel taxes immediately after the removal of petrol subsidies would place an additional burden on Nigerians already grappling with rising living costs.

    According to him, the government must first improve economic conditions and strengthen household purchasing power before considering additional taxes on petroleum products.

    Oyedele noted that several countries around the world impose taxes on fuel, with the tax component accounting for between 20 and 80 per cent of pump prices in some markets. He added that many African countries have between six and 10 different taxes on petroleum products.

    He, however, maintained that Nigeria must consider its current economic realities before adopting similar measures.

    The minister argued that improving citizens’ incomes was more important than attempting to keep prices artificially low, noting that efforts to suppress prices had not proved sustainable.

    He said the government’s priority was to ensure that incomes grew faster than prices, expand the middle class and improve the general standard of living.

    Oyedele added that revenue generated from the proposed fuel taxes would be earmarked for road infrastructure and the development of strategic fuel reserves to help cushion the impact of future price shocks.

    He explained that the reserves could provide a buffer against disruptions in the petroleum market, allowing the government to temporarily reduce or suspend the taxes when necessary to ease pressure on consumers.

    The minister said more than 50 countries had used tax reductions to respond to fuel market disruptions, but Nigeria lacked a similar option because it did not previously have the proposed taxes in place.

    Oyedele also assured Nigerians that the government would not introduce the taxes secretly, stressing that the law requires the relevant order to be published in the Federal Government’s official gazette before it can take effect.

    He said the government would ensure that Nigerians understood the reasons for introducing the taxes and the benefits they were expected to deliver.

    The minister reiterated that the proposed measures would only be implemented when economic conditions improved sufficiently to enable households to bear the additional costs.

  • FG Warns Fuel Subsidy Return Could Trigger Capital Flight

    FG Warns Fuel Subsidy Return Could Trigger Capital Flight

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    The Federal Government has warned that restoring petrol subsidies could trigger capital flight, weaken the naira and reverse gains made through its economic reforms.

    The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, gave the warning during a briefing in Bangkok, Thailand, following the 2026 IMF-World Bank Annual Meetings.

    Oyedele said investors had repeatedly sought assurances that the government would not reverse the removal of fuel subsidies or the unification of exchange rates, particularly as Nigeria approaches another election cycle.

    He warned that any indication of a return to subsidies could undermine investor confidence, prompt capital withdrawals and increase pressure on the foreign exchange market.

    The briefing was also attended by the Central Bank of Nigeria Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, and the Minister of Budget and Economic Planning, Atiku Bagudu.

    The delegation clarified that the Federal Government’s 30-day petrol price reduction did not amount to a reinstatement of fuel subsidies.

    Bagudu stressed the need for closer coordination between fiscal and monetary authorities to sustain the gains of ongoing reforms. The government also announced a seven per cent economic growth target.

    At the meetings, Nigeria called for reforms of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank to strengthen the representation of developing economies in global financial decisions and improve their access to funding.

    Presenting the Group of 24 communiqué, Oyedele said geopolitical conflicts, trade uncertainties, volatile commodity prices and climate-related shocks were threatening global growth, with emerging and developing economies bearing a disproportionate share of the impact.

  • Oyedele Warns Against Taxing Poor Nigerians, Urges AfCFTA Policy Alignment

    Oyedele Warns Against Taxing Poor Nigerians, Urges AfCFTA Policy Alignment

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    The Minister of Finance, Taiwo Oyedele, has warned African governments against imposing additional taxes on vulnerable citizens and productive businesses to address fiscal challenges, saying such measures could worsen hardship and undermine economic growth.

    Oyedele also called for stronger policy coordination among African countries to remove trade barriers and maximise the benefits of the African Continental Free Trade Area.

    He made the remarks during discussions at the Annual Meetings, where he addressed taxation, economic reforms, employment, development financing and regional trade integration.

    The minister said governments should focus on improving domestic revenue mobilisation and eliminating inefficient expenditure rather than introducing tax measures that place additional pressure on low-income households and businesses.

    According to him, excessive taxation could leave vulnerable families with fewer resources for essential needs, including food, healthcare and education, while placing pressure on businesses that generate jobs and economic activity.

    He noted that both taxation and borrowing had consequences, adding that governments needed to strike a balance that ensured sustainable public finances without compromising citizens’ welfare.

    “The essence of tax and of debts is to cater for the people. If you put people always at the centre of your policies, you will not be perfect, but you are likely to strike a balance that works and is sustainable,” he said.

    Oyedele also stressed that economic growth should be measured by its ability to create jobs, promote inclusion and improve living standards rather than by macroeconomic indicators alone.

    He warned that the growing adoption of artificial intelligence could affect employment opportunities if governments failed to develop appropriate policies to manage its impact.

    The minister said economic stability remained essential for sustainable growth, investment and prosperity, noting that governments needed a stable foundation to implement structural reforms and infrastructure programmes.

    On regional integration, Oyedele said the AfCFTA offered African countries an opportunity to combine their fragmented national markets into a larger continental market capable of attracting investment, expanding production and boosting trade.

    He, however, warned that the agreement would achieve limited results unless governments addressed barriers to cross-border commerce, particularly non-tariff restrictions.

    “The AfCFTA is trying to turn 54 countries into one market, so that way it’s easy for us to scale. But that will not happen until we remove the barriers, and many of them are actually non-tariff,” he said.

    Oyedele explained that effective implementation required consistent regulations, clear standards, supporting infrastructure and coordinated economic policies across the continent.

    He cited Nigeria’s National Single Window initiative as an effort to simplify border procedures and improve trade facilitation through technology.

    The minister also disclosed that Nigeria was developing an economic policy framework that incorporates its international commitments, including regional agreements.

    He said differences in trade, fiscal and monetary policies among African countries could make regional integration difficult, stressing the need for governments to align their approaches.

    Oyedele further identified policy consistency, strong institutions and public trust as essential conditions for attracting private investment to Africa.

    “Capital follows trust before it follows returns. They need to be able to plan and predict what you are going to do,” he said.

    Reflecting on Nigeria’s economic reforms, he said governments must clearly explain policy changes, communicate the consequences of inaction and implement reforms in the right sequence.

    He argued that reforms should be supported by legislation and strong institutions to ensure continuity beyond changes in political leadership.

    Oyedele also emphasised the need to protect vulnerable citizens from the immediate effects of economic adjustments while waiting for the benefits to materialise.

    He cited cash transfers reaching more than 10 million households and education funding supporting over 1.5 million students as examples of measures introduced to cushion the effects of reforms in Nigeria.

    The minister maintained that sustainable economic progress depended on combining macroeconomic stability with inclusive growth, reliable institutions, social protection and stronger regional cooperation.

  • Tinubu Says World Bank Report Validates Economic Reform

    Tinubu Says World Bank Report Validates Economic Reform

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    President Bola Tinubu has described the World Bank’s latest assessment of Nigeria’s economy as evidence that his administration’s economic reforms are yielding results, citing improvements in economic growth, government revenue and external reserves.

    Tinubu’s position was contained in a statement issued on Sunday by his Special Adviser on Information and Strategy, Bayo Onanuga, following the release of the World Bank’s October 2026 Nigeria Development Update, titled Beyond the Federal Purse: How Higher Revenues Reshaped State Priorities.

    The President said the report indicated that the country’s economy was becoming more stable and better positioned for sustained growth, while noting that poverty had stabilised for the first time since 2019.

    According to the statement, the World Bank reported that Nigeria’s economy grew by 4.2 per cent in the first half of 2026, compared with 3.9 per cent during the corresponding period in 2025.

    The bank projected that economic growth would average at least 4.4 per cent between 2026 and 2028, while poverty was expected to decline gradually as economic growth outpaced population growth.

    On inflation, Tinubu said the report showed that the rate fell from 27.6 per cent in January 2025 to 15.2 per cent in December of the same year.

    However, the statement noted that higher global fuel prices linked to the conflict in the Middle East had slowed the decline in inflation. The World Bank expects inflation to ease to about 12 per cent by 2028.

    The President also highlighted improvements in Nigeria’s external position, saying the country’s current account surplus rose to $12bn, representing seven per cent of gross domestic product, in the first half of 2026.

    This compared with $8.6bn recorded in the corresponding period of 2025.

    According to the statement, gross external reserves increased from $45.5bn at the end of 2025 to $53.8bn at the end of August 2026.

    Tinubu further said the World Bank attributed a 69 per cent real-term increase in federation revenue between 2023 and 2025 to reforms introduced by his administration, with state governments emerging as the largest beneficiaries.

    He said states used the additional revenue to increase capital expenditure by 151 per cent in real terms over the same period.

    The statement identified roads and other transport infrastructure, agriculture, energy and housing as major areas that benefited from the increased spending.

    It added that 29 of 33 states shifted more of their spending towards economic infrastructure, while real social spending per person increased in all but one state.

    The President also cited the report’s findings that internally generated revenue rose in real terms in 31 of 35 states, while 21 states reduced their debt-to-GDP ratios between 2021 and 2025.

    Nigeria’s overall public debt was projected to decline from 40 per cent of GDP in 2025 to 38.1 per cent in 2026, according to the statement.

    Tinubu said the findings reinforced his administration’s position that the removal of petrol subsidy, unification of the foreign exchange market and efforts to strengthen fiscal discipline had increased government revenue and created more resources for public investment.

    “The dividends of reform are becoming visible. But more work remains to ensure they fully translate into better living standards for every household, starting with lower food prices and decent jobs for our young people,” he said.

    He added that the government would continue implementing its Renewed Hope Agenda, with a stronger focus on inclusive growth and improved living conditions.

    Tinubu said the administration would expand targeted cash transfers, which he stated had reached more than 10 million households, accelerate the deployment of compressed natural gas, improve agricultural productivity and widen access to affordable healthcare and quality education.

    He also urged state governments to manage their increased revenues prudently and prioritise projects that would improve living standards, healthcare and education.

    The President commended the Economic Management Team, led by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, alongside state governors and other stakeholders, for their role in implementing the reforms.

    He said the government remained committed to accelerating the delivery of shared prosperity under the Renewed Hope Agenda 2.0.

  • CBN Slashes Interest Rate By 350bps To 23%

    CBN Slashes Interest Rate By 350bps To 23%

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    The Central Bank of Nigeria has reduced its benchmark interest rate by 350 basis points, cutting the Monetary Policy Rate from 26.5 per cent to 23 per cent.

    CBN Governor Olayemi Cardoso announced the decision on Tuesday after the Monetary Policy Committee concluded its two-day meeting in Abuja.

    The reduction is the largest single cut in the current monetary policy cycle and came amid easing inflation, stronger external reserves and improved conditions in the foreign exchange market. Reuters reported that economists surveyed ahead of the meeting had expected the CBN to leave the rate unchanged at 26.5 per cent.

    The decision has raised expectations that borrowing costs could gradually decline for businesses and other private-sector operators, although the extent and speed of any reduction in lending rates will depend on how commercial banks transmit the policy change to customers.

    Cardoso, however, said the decision should not be interpreted as a broad shift towards monetary easing. He described it as a “reset and recalibration” aimed principally at improving the way monetary policy decisions are transmitted through the financial system.

    The MPC also adjusted the Standing Facilities Corridor around the MPR while retaining the Cash Reserve Requirement at 45 per cent for Deposit Money Banks, 16 per cent for Merchant Banks and 75 per cent for non-Treasury Single Account public-sector deposits.

    According to Cardoso, the adjustment was designed to strengthen the effectiveness of monetary policy and restore the MPR as the central signal for interest rates in the economy.

    The governor said the committee had observed a disconnect between the MPR and prevailing money-market rates, which had weakened the transmission of previous policy decisions.

    He said the CBN’s ongoing changes to its monetary policy framework, including the use of the Nigerian Overnight Financing Rate as a transaction-based benchmark, were intended to improve transparency and strengthen the link between policy decisions and market rates.

    ### Inflation And External Position Support Rate Cut

    The latest decision followed a period of moderation in inflation and improvements in Nigeria’s external position.

    Nigeria’s headline inflation eased to 15.39 per cent in August 2026 from 15.43 per cent in July, according to the latest figures reported following the release of the Consumer Price Index.

    The MPC also noted an improvement in the country’s balance of payments position, with the surplus rising to $3.51 billion in the second quarter of 2026 from $2.38 billion in the first quarter.

    The current account surplus also increased to $7.54 billion in the second quarter from $4.49 billion in the preceding quarter.

    The committee said three consecutive months of declining headline inflation, relative exchange-rate stability and stronger external buffers had created room for the policy framework to be recalibrated.

    It also pointed to improved investor confidence and strengthening external-sector fundamentals as factors supporting the decision.

    ### Cardoso Says Tightening Cycle Has Worked

    Cardoso said the series of monetary tightening measures introduced by the CBN had achieved their primary objectives of helping to moderate inflation and stabilise the macroeconomic environment.

    “The tightening that we have done, in our view, has done its job. It has worked,” the governor said.

    He stressed that the latest decision should not be viewed as the beginning of an unrestricted easing cycle.

    “We should not see this as an easing. This is a reset and a recalibration,” he said.

    The governor said the CBN would continue to monitor economic developments and maintain a restrictive policy approach where necessary to protect the gains made in reducing inflation.

    ### Private Sector Welcomes Decision

    Business groups and economic analysts have welcomed the reduction, although some said the size of the cut came as a surprise.

    The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Financial Derivatives Company, the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association and other private-sector stakeholders said the lower policy rate could improve access to credit and support productive activities.

    The stakeholders said cheaper financing could benefit manufacturers and other businesses by reducing the cost of capital, potentially supporting investment and employment.

    The CBN’s decision has also renewed discussions about how quickly banks and other financial institutions will adjust their lending rates following the reduction in the policy rate.

    ### CBN Highlights Three Years Of Reforms

    Cardoso also used the briefing to highlight reforms implemented since he assumed office in 2023, including changes to the foreign exchange market, monetary policy operations and the banking sector.

    He said the CBN inherited an economy facing significant currency instability, multiple foreign exchange rates, high liquidity and weakened investor confidence.

    According to the governor, the reforms were aimed at returning the central bank to its core mandate of maintaining price and financial stability.

    He defended the unification of the foreign exchange market, saying the previous multiple-rate system created distortions and imposed significant costs on the economy.

    Cardoso also pointed to the recapitalisation of the banking sector, saying the exercise had attracted additional capital and positioned banks to support economic expansion.

    The governor said Nigeria’s gross external reserves had risen above $55 billion, describing the level as the highest in more than 18 years.

    ### Remittances Boost External Reserves

    Cardoso attributed part of the improvement in Nigeria’s external position to stronger diaspora remittances.

    He said monthly remittance inflows had increased from about $200 million when the CBN began efforts to encourage greater formal remittance flows to nearly $1 billion by July.

    The governor said the central bank would continue engaging Nigerians living abroad and other stakeholders to sustain the increase in remittance inflows.

    He also linked Nigeria’s return to major global investment indices, including developments involving FTSE Russell and JPMorgan, to improved international investor confidence.

    ### Fiscal And Monetary Authorities Strengthen Coordination

    The CBN governor also highlighted the recent fiscal-monetary coordination agreement between the Central Bank and the Federal Ministry of Finance.

    He said the Memorandum of Understanding was designed to institutionalise cooperation between fiscal and monetary authorities rather than leave coordination to individual relationships.

    Cardoso said closer cooperation would be particularly important as Nigeria moves towards an inflation-targeting framework, noting that controlling inflation would require coordinated action beyond monetary policy alone.

    ### CBN Prepares For Election-Year Liquidity

    With Nigeria approaching another political and electoral cycle, Cardoso said the CBN was preparing for possible changes in currency demand and liquidity conditions.

    He said the bank would monitor currency in circulation, banking-sector liquidity, monetary aggregates and foreign exchange demand while deploying appropriate liquidity-management tools when necessary.

    The governor assured Nigerians that the CBN would ensure adequate availability of currency while enforcing existing limits and working with law-enforcement agencies to tackle currency abuse.

  • Dangote Plans Over $10bn Investment in Africa’s Power Sector

    Dangote Plans Over $10bn Investment in Africa’s Power Sector

    Precious Nwonu, Enugu

    President of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, has announced plans to invest more than $10bn in Africa’s power sector over the next three to four years as part of efforts to address the continent’s electricity shortage.

    Dangote disclosed this in an interview with Al Jazeera published on Monday, stressing that reliable electricity supply was essential to Africa’s economic and industrial development.

    According to the billionaire businessman, the planned investment is part of a broader strategy aimed at driving significant economic transformation across the continent.

    He said the group was considering redirecting funds from some business ventures, including a possible steel project, towards investments in electricity generation and related infrastructure.

    “We want to invest over $10 billion alone in power,” Dangote said.

    He expressed concern over the number of Africans still without access to electricity, saying more than 600 million people across the continent remain without power.

    Dangote described the situation as unacceptable and argued that expanding access to reliable electricity should be a major priority for African governments and businesses.

    “It is something that we Africans should not really allow. Over 600 million of our people to remain in darkness,” he said.

    The Dangote Group president also linked electricity supply to the ability of governments to promote economic growth and improve living standards.

    He argued that political leaders who deliver reliable electricity and other essential services would have less difficulty convincing voters of their performance during election periods.

    Dangote maintained that power remains a fundamental requirement for industrialisation, economic expansion and job creation.

    “Power is key. We will never, ever create growth without power,” he said.

    He added, “That’s why they say, power is growth.”

    The planned investment comes amid persistent electricity supply challenges across several African countries, where inadequate generation capacity and infrastructure continue to constrain industrial and economic activities.

  • President Tinubu Says Economic Reforms Moving Nigeria’s Economy to $1tn

    President Bola Ahmed Tinubu

    President Bola Tinubu on Tuesday said the economic reforms introduced by his administration have placed Nigeria on the path to achieving a $1tn economy by 2030, despite the hardship and challenges confronting Nigerians.

    Represented by the National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress, Prof. Nentawe Yilwatda, at the second edition of the Asiwaju Scorecard Series and Policy Roundtable in Abuja, Tinubu said the reforms had strengthened the foundation for economic stability, growth and prosperity.

    Tinubu commenced major economic reforms on May 29, 2023, at his inauguration, measures that were met with mixed reactions from Nigerians due to their varying impact on citizens’ livelihoods.

    However, more than three years into the administration, the Presidency has maintained that the reforms are in the best interest of the country and are delivering the desired results.

    Tinubu said the removal of fuel subsidy and reforms in the foreign exchange market, alongside increased revenue mobilisation and investments in critical infrastructure, were necessary to move the country away from years of economic uncertainty and towards sustainable growth.

    He stated, “When President Bola Ahmed Tinubu assumed office on 29 May 2023, Nigeria faced a difficult economic inheritance. We had fuel subsidy distortions, multiple exchange-rate windows, weak revenue mobilisation, foreign-exchange shortages, rising debt-service pressures and years of inadequate investment in critical infrastructure. The President understood that Nigeria could not continue on that trajectory and therefore took difficult decisions, including the removal of the fuel subsidy and the reform of the foreign-exchange market.

    “The evidence increasingly shows that the foundation is strengthening. Nigeria’s gross external reserves has risen to about $52.7 billion by August 2026. Consolidated non-oil revenue increased from approximately ₦13.63 trillion in 2023 to ₦16.4 trillion in the first two quarters of 2026, demonstrating the growing contribution of non-oil sources to government revenue. Our trade position has also improved dramatically: from a merchandise trade surplus of only about ₦44.8 billion for the whole of 2023 to approximately ₦7.54 trillion in the first quarter of 2026 alone.

    “Real GDP grew by 4.43 percent in Q2 2026, while inflation has fallen significantly from its earlier peak to about 15.4 percent. These figures do not mean that our economic challenges have disappeared, but they demonstrate that the direction of travel has changed. And let me emphasise: macroeconomic stability is not the destination; it is the foundation. The ultimate test is when stability translates into cheaper food, more jobs, affordable credit, reliable electricity and greater purchasing power for Nigerians.

    “Most Nigerians have asked, why the ambitious $1 trillion economy by Mr President? The $1 trillion economy is not merely a number, but a national mission: a Nigeria that produces more, exports more, attracts more investment, creates more jobs and gives its young people a greater stake in the future.”

    He said Nigeria’s $1tn economy ambition requires adequate infrastructure, stressing that the Renewed Hope Agenda prioritises roads, rail, ports, energy and digital connectivity.

    The President added, “Nigeria must now take full advantage of its enormous maritime opportunity by developing an integrated five-port maritime and logistics corridor. Our strategic ambition should be to develop and connect five major deep-sea ports at Lagos, Ondo, Ibom, Port Harcourt and Calabar, linking them by modern rail and road infrastructure, with the Lagos-Calabar Coastal Super Highway serving as the principal coastal road spine. But the vision does not stop at the coastline.

    “The Western Corridor will connect the maritime gateways to the interior through the Lagos–Abuja–Kaduna–Kano rail corridor, complemented by the Sokoto–Badagry Super Highway, thereby opening a direct trade route from the Atlantic coast to the markets of the Northwest and the Sahel. The Eastern Corridor will similarly connect the eastern maritime gateways through the Port Harcourt–Abuja–Kaduna–Kano rail corridor, complemented by the proposed Calabar–Maiduguri Trans-Sahara Super Highway, creating a second major east-to-north trade route.

    “In this way, Nigeria can create an integrated national transport system in which our five deep-sea ports are connected to one another, connected to our major cities and production centres, and connected ultimately to the landlocked markets of Niger, Chad, Burkina Faso, Sudan and the Central African Republic.

    “This is how Nigeria can move beyond being simply a coastal trading nation to becoming the maritime gateway and logistics hub of West and Central Africa, capturing a much larger share of the continent’s trade, logistics, manufacturing and distribution value chain.

    “That is more than transportation infrastructure, but a trade architecture. It would generate opportunities in logistics, warehousing, freight forwarding, customs, banking, insurance, manufacturing, distribution and agro-processing. It would create jobs, generate foreign exchange and strengthen Nigeria’s position as a regional commercial hub.”

    Speaking further, Tinubu said Nigeria must develop industrial parks, export-processing zones, logistics hubs, agro-processing clusters and manufacturing centres along major transport corridors.

    The President continued, “Every container through a Nigerian port is an economic opportunity. Every Nigerian agricultural product exported is an opportunity. Every factory established along a transport corridor is an opportunity. Every international company that chooses Nigeria as its African distribution base is an opportunity. That is how we grow GDP, create jobs, earn foreign exchange and build the foundation of a $1 trillion economy.

    “None of this can succeed without energy, and Nigeria has abundant gas, and the Ajaokuta-Kaduna-Kano gas pipeline (AKK Project) is strategically important in connecting gas resources to major population and industrial centres in Northern Nigeria. It is about electricity, fertiliser, manufacturing, transportation, energising homes and industrialisation.

    “We are investing in the future of our young people because they are the greatest asset of the Nigerian economy. Through NELFUND, we are expanding access to higher education so that financial circumstances do not prevent young Nigerians from acquiring the knowledge they need to succeed. We are also supporting young people in technical and vocational education through grants and skills-development opportunities, while programmes to train young Nigerians in digital technologies are equipping a new generation with the skills required for the global digital economy.

    “At the same time, through initiatives such as CREDICORP, we are expanding access to responsible credit so that workers, entrepreneurs and businesses can acquire productive assets, grow their enterprises and create jobs. This is not simply social investment; it is an investment in the productive capacity of Nigeria and in the young Nigerians who will ultimately build and drive our $1 trillion economy.”

    The President said economic growth must translate into improved living standards, stressing that the next phase of the Renewed Hope Agenda will focus on more jobs, affordable credit, lower inflation, reliable power, increased production and stronger purchasing power.

  • Enugu Emerges Nigeria’s Fastest-Improving State, Abia Ranks Third in 2026 Phillips Consulting Index

    Enugu Emerges Nigeria’s Fastest-Improving State, Abia Ranks Third in 2026 Phillips Consulting Index

    Enugu State has emerged as Nigeria’s fastest-improving state, while Abia ranked third in the 2026 Phillips Consulting State Performance Momentum Index, an assessment that measures how rapidly states are improving relative to the national average.

    The report released by Phillips Consulting awarded Enugu a momentum score of +1.15, the highest among the 33 states assessed, placing it ahead of Jigawa (+0.77) in second place and Abia (+0.67) in third.

    The Momentum Index measures the extent of progress recorded by each state during the review period rather than absolute performance. Positive scores indicate above-average improvement, while negative scores reflect slower-than-average progress.

    Other states that recorded positive momentum include Osun (+0.65), Kano (+0.46), Gombe (+0.39), Akwa Ibom (+0.33), Sokoto (+0.27), Borno (+0.26), Ogun (+0.24), Ekiti (+0.19), Kogi (+0.15), Kwara (+0.08), Kaduna (+0.01) and Adamawa (+0.01).

    At the lower end of the rankings, Edo posted the weakest momentum score of -0.79, followed by Imo (-0.72), Katsina (-0.66), Benue (-0.49), Ondo (-0.43), Ebonyi (-0.32), Oyo (-0.26), Kebbi (-0.25), Delta (-0.24), Anambra (-0.19), Nasarawa (-0.17), Taraba (-0.14), Bayelsa (-0.10), Cross River (-0.09), Lagos (-0.08), Plateau (-0.07), Bauchi (-0.05) and Niger (-0.03).

    According to the report, Enugu’s emergence as the country’s strongest-performing state reflects deliberate governance, strong fiscal discipline and sustained implementation of reforms, while the South-East recorded the strongest regional momentum among Nigeria’s six geopolitical zones.

    Phillips Consulting noted that Enugu’s performance demonstrates how purposeful leadership and disciplined execution of public policies can translate into measurable development outcomes within a relatively short period. It also highlighted the state’s progress in governance effectiveness, institutional reforms and implementation capacity.

    The report came as state governments continue to benefit from higher revenues following recent economic reforms. It noted that federal allocations to states increased by 118 per cent between 2022 and 2025, driven by stronger Federation Account receipts.

    Despite the revenue growth, the report observed that many states have struggled to translate increased public spending into improved living standards, with average citizen satisfaction with public services standing at 2.90 out of five, below the benchmark score of 3.0.

    “Spending is a number. Progress is an outcome,” the report stated, arguing that governance quality, rather than the size of government revenues, determines development outcomes.

    In a statement, Abia State Commissioner for Information, Prince Okey Kanu, described the state’s third-place ranking as evidence that the reforms of Governor Alex Otti’s administration were yielding measurable and nationally recognised results.

    He attributed the state’s performance to strategic investments in infrastructure, education, healthcare, digital innovation, security, agriculture, public sector reforms and economic development.

    According to him, road reconstruction, the establishment of Smart Schools, governance and revenue reforms, industrial revival, youth empowerment and investment promotion have all contributed to the state’s improvement.

    “The recognition by Phillips Consulting serves as an independent validation of Abia’s reform journey and further strengthens the state’s position as one of Nigeria’s emerging models of transformational governance and inclusive development,” the statement said.

    The report also highlighted notable sectoral performances across the country. Abia received the highest ratings for security and public transport, Gombe topped roads and healthcare quality, Sokoto ranked highest for education affordability and perceptions of public sector honesty, Kano led in economic opportunity, while Kogi recorded the best performance in access to clean water.

    On fiscal indicators, Lagos remained Nigeria’s most fiscally self-reliant state, generating internally generated revenue equivalent to 369 per cent of its federal allocation and recording the country’s highest internally generated revenue per capita. Jigawa recorded the lowest debt burden per resident, while Enugu posted the fastest annual revenue growth.

    Phillips Consulting explained that Rivers State and the Federal Capital Territory were excluded from the rankings because they had not published audited 2024 financial accounts by the report’s cut-off date, while Yobe and Zamfara were not fully ranked due to insufficient survey responses.

    The firm said the exclusions were necessary to preserve the integrity of the index, which places greater emphasis on audited financial data than public perception.

  • Dangote Refinery Raises US$2.5bn in Landmark Private Equity Placement

    Dangote Refinery Raises US$2.5bn in Landmark Private Equity Placement

    Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE (DPRP) has completed a US$2.5 billion private equity placement, with the company describing the transaction as Africa’s largest publicly disclosed primary equity private placement by value.

    According to a statement issued by Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, the offering was 3.7 times oversubscribed relative to its initial size and resulted in the issuance and allotment of approximately US$2.5 billion in new equity.

    The company said the transaction marks its first equity capital raise involving external investors beyond its existing shareholder base and represents a major milestone in its long-term funding strategy and efforts to deepen African capital markets.

    It stated that proceeds from the fundraising would support the continued expansion of its refinery and petrochemical complex, strengthen its capital structure, and provide additional financial flexibility for future growth initiatives.

    The statement added that the offering attracted participation from a broad range of international and African institutional investors, sovereign-related investment vehicles, development finance institutions, and strategic partners, including Africa Finance Corporation (AFC) and India Infra Buildco, an investment vehicle facilitated by the African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank).

    Commenting on the development, President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited and Chairman of DPRP, Aliko Dangote, described the transaction as “a strategic step to deepen and further institutionalise the Enterprise’s shareholder base, while raising capital to complement our internal cash flows and external funding, as DPRP advances its expansion agenda.”

    He added: “This further demonstrates our profound commitment to developing domestic refining and petrochemical capacity—reducing Africa’s reliance on imported refined products and strengthening the continent’s energy security.”

    Also commenting, the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, David Bird, said: “The exceptional demand we saw is a testament to our operational excellence, execution capacity, and investor confidence in DPRP’s leadership.”

    The company said the successful completion of the private placement positions it to execute its long-term growth strategy while strengthening Africa’s energy security through world-scale refining and petrochemical capacity. It also acknowledged the support of its professional advisers in concluding the transaction.

  • Nigeria’s Inflation Reduces to 15.91 per cent in June

    Nigeria’s Inflation Reduces to 15.91 per cent in June

    The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has said Nigeria’s headline inflation dropped marginally to 15.91 per cent in the month of June.

    This was contained in its June Consumer Price Index Report (CPI), which stressed that the figure was a 0.2 percent reduction from the 15.93 per cent recorded in the preceding month.

    It went on to state that June’s figure was lower than the 25.29 per cent recorded in June 2025.

    “The month-on-month headline inflation rate in June 2026 was 1.66 per cent, which was 0.09 per cent lower than the rate recorded in May 2026 (1.75 per cent).”

    At the divisional level, the three major contributors to the headline inflation were Food and Non-alcoholic Beverages: 6.37 per cent, Restaurants & Accommodation Services: 2.06 per cent, and Transport: 1.70 per cent; while the least contributors were Recreation, Sport, and Culture: 0.05 per cent, Alcoholic Beverages, Tobacco, and Narcotics: 0.06 per cent, and Insurance and Financial Services: 0.07 per cent.

    On Food inflation, the figure was 17.52 per cent on a year-on-year basis, lower than 25.41 per cent recorded in June 2025.

    “Also, on a month-on-month basis, the Food Inflation rate in June 2026 was 3.75 per cent, up by 0.77 per cent points from May 2026 (2.98 per cent).”

    It attributed this to the rate of change in the average prices of crayfish, pepper (fresh), tomatoes (fresh), green peas (dried), fresh pepper, yam flour (sold loose), water yam, beef, banana, cassava flour, cow pea, garri, Irish potatoes, yam tuber, among others.

    It said All items less farm produces and energy or Core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produces and energy, stood at 15.92 per cent in June 2026 on a year-on-year basis; showing a decline of 9.49 per cent when compared to the 25.41 per cent recorded in June 2025.

    “On a month-on-month basis, the Core Inflation rate was 1.66 per cent in June 2026, down by 0.28 per cent compared to May 2026 (1.94 per cent). The percentage change in the average CPI for the twelve months ending June 2026 over the average for the previous twelve-month period was 18.82 per cent, which was 8.05 per cent points lower than the 26.88 per cent recorded in June 2025.”

    On All Items Inflation, NBS said in the period under review, the All-Items inflation rate on a Year-on-Year basis was highest in Niger (42.23 per cent), Kogi (41.59 per cent), and Abuja (39.91 per cent), while Imo (19.47 per cent), Ebonyi (20.79 per cent) and Katsina (21.87 per cent) recorded the lowest rise in Headline inflation on a Year-on-Year basis.

    The report said On a Month-on-Month basis, however, June 2026 recorded the highest increases in Niger (11.65 per cent), Katsina (8.13 per cent) and Kwara (7.52 per cent), while Bayelsa (-6.48 per cent), Benue (-5.58 per cent), and Cross River (-5.12 per cent) recorded the lowest rise in the Month-on-Month inflation.

    NBS further noted that Food Inflation State-level analyses of the food index in June 2026, Food inflation on a Year-on-Year basis was highest in Kogi (53.02 per cent), Niger (43.83 per cent), and Benue (40.83 per cent), while Katsina (19.15 per cent), Rivers (23.81 per cent) and Imo (24.60 per cent) recorded the slowest rise in Food inflation on a Year-on-Year basis.

    Continuing, the report revealed that On a Month-on-Month basis, however, June 2026 Food inflation was highest in Katsina (16.82 per cent), Kebbi (9.79 per cent) and Niger (8.96 per cent), while Borno (-3.54 per cent), Benue (-2.36 per cent), and Bayelsa (-1.34 per cent) recorded the slowest rise in Food inflation on a Month-on-Month basis.

  • Nigeria’s Oil Output Rises To 1.735mbpd

    Nigeria’s Oil Output Rises To 1.735mbpd

    …Nigeria meets 104% of OPEC Quota

    …Crude oil production rises to 74-month high

    Nigeria’s oil output climbed to a 74‑month high in June, averaging 1.735 million barrels per day of crude and condensate as stable operations and minimal pipeline outages boosted production, the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) stated on Sunday.

    The NUPRC Crude Oil and Condensate Production 2026 Report showed that the June figure — made up of 1.56mbpd of crude and 0.18mbpd of condensates — put Nigeria at 104% of its 1.5mbpd OPEC quota and marked the fourth consecutive month of growth, with peak daily flows reaching 1.89mbpd.

    This means Nigeria met 104 per cent of the 1.5 mbpd crude oil production quota set by the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

    In strict crude oil terms (excluding condensates), the 1.56 million daily average production Nigeria witnessed in June is the highest that Africa’s biggest oil producer has recorded since April 2020, thus representing a 74-month high.

    According to the report, the peak combined crude oil and condensate production was 1.89 mbpd in June, reflecting Nigeria’s potential to reach 2 mbpd in the near term. However, the lowest production was 1.57 mbpd for the period under review.

    The statistics show that Nigeria has maintained an upward trajectory, increasing from 1.483 mbpd in February to 1.546 mbpd in March, 1.663 mbpd in April, 1.700 mbpd in May, and 1.735 mbpd in June, representing a 2.2 per cent month-on-month growth.

    The improved performance was primarily driven by stable production operations across most producing assets and the absence of any major pipeline outages during the period under review.

    This enhanced operational stability supported improved production uptime and crude evacuation efficiency.

    Although a limited number of assets experienced short-duration operational shutdowns, the overall impact on national production was minimal. In addition, scheduled turnaround maintenance activities were effectively managed and completed without significant disruption to production operations.

    The sustained growth recorded in June reflects the continued commitment of operators and industry stakeholders towards improving operational efficiency, maintaining asset integrity, and enhancing production reliability across the Nigerian upstream petroleum sector.

    A breakdown of the daily average crude oil and condensate production by terminals/streams during the review month shows that Bonny Terminal accounted for 318.28 kbpd, up from 293.88 kbpd in May 2026, while Forcados Terminal followed with 306.36 kbpd, up from 289.90 kbpd in May 2026.

    Qua Iboe Terminal recorded an average production of 164.73 kbpd of crude oil and condensates, down from 173.36 kbpd in May 2026, while Escravos Oil Terminal posted a daily average of 138.03 kbpd, up from 135.47 kbpd recorded in May 2026.

    Bonga ranked as the fifth-highest-producing terminal, recording an average of 103.66 kbpd of crude oil, compared with 102.54 kbpd in May 2026. Leadership